1.- Short Notes on the History of Brazil.
2. Mercosul : Formation and Evolution.
i.- Crisis within the GATT;
ii.- U.S.A changes trade policy from multilateralism to regionalism: NAFTA / FTAA;
iii.- First Successes of Mercosul:
a.- Evolution of Trade (20% less in 1st semester of 1999);
b.- Exclusionary Trade or Possible Trade (58% Agriculture).
iv.- Shortcomings:
a.- Intrinsic Fiscal Weakness;
b.- Exchange Regime;
c.- Adverse International Situation.
3. The WTO and Globalisation:
a.- losers and winners
(36% 64% WB);
b.- Investments; Agriculture; Dumping; Subsidies; Rules; Dispute Resolution System.
4. CURRENT ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL SITUATION IN BRAZIL
i.- The Real Plan, characteristics:
a.- Pillars:
Exchange rate
Interest rate;
b.- Lack of fiscal adjustment.
ii.- The Real Plan Effects
a.- denationalisation;
b.- loss of international competitiveness;
c.- unemployment;
d.- recession;
e.- lower inflation;
f.- greater investments targeting domestic markets;
g.- erosion of domestic currency;
h.- social crisis.
5. THE CRISIS OF MERCOSUL:
i.- Investment Diversion;
ii.- Economic Discrepancies;
iii.- Currencies and Exchange;
iv.- Troubled sectors: sugar; cars; paper; textiles; poultry; shoes; steel.
6. FURTHER EXTERNAL RISKS:
i.- The WTO and the involution of trade.
ii.- the Millenium Round.
a.- Social Dumping;
b.- The Multilateral Agreement on Investments;
c.- Environment;
d.- Government purchases;
e.- Electronic Trade;
f.- Agriculture;
g.- Genetically modified foods.
Advogado admitido no Brasil, Inglaterra e Gales e Portugal. Formou-se em direito pela PUC-SP em 1975. Árbitro do GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) e da OMC (Organização Mundial do Comércio), e professor de direito do comércio internacional na pós-graduação da Universidade Cândido Mendes (RJ).